Nickerson Chronicles

Upcoming Plays

The model's picks as bets for Monday, October 26, plus the rest of this week's football. 1 unit = 1% of a $100 bankroll ($1.00). For entertainment only. See the record →

How plays work
Market %
FanDuel's moneyline turned into a win chance, with the sportsbook's margin removed.
Edge
Moneyline: model win % minus market % (pp). Spread and total: how far the model's number sits from the posted line (pts).
Tier A · 2u
The model's edge clears the sport's threshold and a second, independent read agrees. Parlay-eligible.
Tier B · 1u
The model's edge clears the threshold without that confirmation, or a flag caps the play.
Pass
The edge clears the threshold, but the second read points the other way.
Flags
No parlay: price −300 or shorter. Thin data: a team has played fewer than 3 games. FBS vs FCS: a subdivision mismatch. Thin data and FBS vs FCS cap a play at Tier B.

No plays right now

No game on the current slate has a model edge above its sport's threshold.

Last updated: NFL odds Oct 20, 9:19 AM, model Oct 20, 9:14 AM (UTC). Plays recompute each time this page loads.