While writing my last post I noticed I had the equation for FTR(Free Throw Rate) incorrect. I was using FT(Free Throws made) when I should have been using FTA(Free Throw Attempts). When I adjusted the equation I did notice a slight change in percent correct.
I picked 16 games from yesterday and predicted the winners. With the updates to the model the percentage correct is now 70%. The sample size chosen for 15 Feb games were correct 56% picking 9 out of 16 correctly. Vegas was 68% correct picking 11 out of 16 winners.
| Home | Away | Line | Predicted Winner | Actual Winner |
| Oklahoma | 3 Kansas | Kansas -11.5 | Kanas | Kansas |
| Syracuse | 8 Florida State | FSU -8.5 | Syracuse | FSU |
| Northwester | 13 Penn State | Penn State 12.5 | Penn State | Penn State |
| 6 Dayton | Umass | Dayton -13.5 | Dayton | Dayton |
| 24 Texas Tech | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech -3 | Texas Tech | Oklahoma State |
| Ole Miss | 12 Kentucky | Kentucky -9.5 | Kentucky | Kentucky |
| Georgetown | 19 Butler | Butler 8.5 | Butler | Georgetown |
| Notre Dame | 7 Duke | Duke -12.5 | Duke | Duke |
| 14 West Virginia | 1 Baylor | Baylor -5 | West Virginia | Baylor |
| 25 LSU | Alabama | Alabama -2.5 | LSU | Alabama |
| 5 Louisville | Clemson | Louisville -5 | Louisville | Clemson |
| 9 Maryland | Michigan State | Michigan State -6.5 | Maryland | Maryland |
| Depaul | 23 Creighton | Creighton -9 | Creighton | Creighton |
| 10 Seton Hall | Providence | Seton Hall -1.5 | Seton Hall | Providence |
| 2 Gonzaga | Pepperdine | Gonzaga -15 | Gonzaga | Gonzaga |
| 16 Colorado | Oregon State | Colorado -2 | Colorado | Colorado |
Three games to note where the team I picked lost by 3 points were
Syracuse vs FSU
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State
Seton Hall vs Providence